I recently discovered DCC PLC (LSE:DCC) through the Gurufocus All-in-One Screener, a Premium feature. I was looking for cheap companies with compounding potential. DCC stood out with a price-to-owner-earnings ratio of 8 and an owner earnings compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8% over the last 10 years.
Owner earnings is a cash flow concept introduced by Warren Buffett in his 1986 Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)(BRK.B) letter to shareholders. At this time, companies were not required to produce a cash flow statement nor was stock based compensation such a big concern. Buffet's formulations of owner earnings removes non-cash distortions from earnings to focuses the investor's attention on how much cash they are getting as partial owners of the company at the end of the period.
About the company
DCC is an Irish international sales, marketing and support services group operating in 22 countries and three sectors: energy, health care and technology. Its largest business is oil and LPG (Liquified Petroleum Gas) distribution. The company had revenue of 17.732 billion British pounds ($22 billion) and net income of £326 million in full-year 2022. It employs over 16,000 people.
The company's energy sector comprises LPG, retail, oil and renewables businesses. It sells and markets LPG, refrigerants and natural gas in Europe, Asia and the U.S. It also operates a network of petrol stations and motorway concessions in France under the Esso brand. The company's renewables business focuses on investing in solar power generation and synthetic jet fuel.
The health care sector provides products and services to health care providers and patients in Europe. It offers medical devices, pharmaceuticals and health and beauty products. It also provides contract manufacturing, packaging and regulatory services to the pharmaceutical industry.
The company's technology sector provides IT products and services to customers in Europe, Asia and North America. It distributes IT hardware, software, consumer electronics, gaming and mobility products. It also offers IT managed services, cloud solutions, cybersecurity and unified communications.
Long term track record of earnings
The company has a strong track record of growth and profitability, delivering consistent returns for its shareholders. One of the key financial metrics that reflects the company's potential for future performance is the forward price-earnings ratio, which measures the current share price relative to Morningstar analysts' esetimates of earnings per share (EPS) for the next 12 months. DCC's forward price-earnings ratio is attractive at only 10.22. This is especially remarkable when considering that the company's 10-year earnings per share growth is over 10%, indicating that DCC has been able to increase its earnings at a faster rate than its peers.
Recent results
DCC has announced its preliminary statement of results for its fiscal year ended March 31, 2023. The results are not yet “official,” but they show strong growth in adjusted operating profit, which increased by 11.3% (7.8% on a constant currency basis), exceeding market consensus expectations. The growth was driven by DCC Energy and acquisitions completed in the current and prior year. The company also achieved a free cash flow conversion of 87%, demonstrating its cash generation capability.
The company made significant progress in sustainability, increasing its share of services and renewable operating profit within DCC Energy from 22% to 28% and reducing its Scope 3 carbon emissions by 5.0%. During the period, DCC committed £360 million to 19 acquisitions, including the acquisition of Medi‐Globe. Despite the uncertain economic environment, the company expects that the next fiscal year will be another year of profit, growth and development.
Dividends
DCC increased the total dividend for the year by 6.5%, marking its 29th consecutive year of dividend growth. It now has a 3.94% dividend yield.
Valuation
DCC's Valuation Chart shows mostly green. However, since the company's recent results were heavily influenced by the company's strong energy business, I believe valuations that utilize earnings may be a little optimistic.
Balance sheet
DCC is in a solid financial position. It has more short-term assets (£5 billion) than either its short term (£3.9 billion) or long term (£2.9 billion) liabilities. It has also reduced its debt-to-equity ratio from 100.8% to 76.4% in the last five years. Its debt is easily covered by its operating cash flow (28.1%) and its interest payments are well within its EBIT.
Conclusion
Overall, I believe DCC is undervalued by 20% to 30% based on my personal fair value estimate. The company has a consistent track record of earnings growth, with a nearly 8% annual increase over the past five years. It pays a reliable dividend yield of 3.94%, which is higher than the average of its peers. It also has an excellent balance sheet with manageable debt.
Originally published on GuruFocus.com