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Compound interest is a powerful wealth creator. For example, an investment that can deliver a 13% annual rate of return can double in value in less than six years. While 13% is an above-average return, many high-quality dividend stocks have delivered an average annual total return above that level over the past decade (and can continue doing so in the future).
Prologis (NYSE: PLD) and Brookfield Renewable (NYSE: BEPC)(NYSE: BEP) are high-performing dividend stocks. They should have the fuel to double investors' money in less than six years.
A wealth-creating REIT
Prologis has delivered a prodigious 16.8% average annual total return over the last decade (and 16.7% over the previous six years). Its rapidly rising dividend is a big driver of the leading industrial REIT's strong performance. Prologis has increased its dividend at a 12% compound annual rate over the last five years, supported by a similar growth rate in its core funds from operations (FFO). That's double the average dividend growth rate of the other REITs and companies in the S&P 500.
The warehouse giant is in an excellent position to continue growing its core FFO and dividend at high rates in the future. The REIT expects to grow its core FFO per share by 9% to 11% annually through at least 2026, driven by rent growth and development projects. There's upside to that forecast. Over the past several years, it has added an average of 1.5% to its FFO per share annually by making accretive acquisitions. Given its elite balance sheet, Prologis has ample financial flexibility to make new investments.
Prologis' forecast (and recent history) suggests the REIT could grow its dividend in line with core FFO, implying the potential of increasing its 2.7%-yielding payout at around a double-digit annual rate. That should give it the power to produce total returns of around 12% annually at the low end to 15%+ at the high end if it makes accretive acquisitions in line with its recent average.
Accelerating wealth-creating potential
Brookfield Renewable has generated an impressive 13.4% average annual total return over the last decade (and 13.1% over the previous six years). The global renewable energy juggernaut has expanded its FFO per share at a more than 10% compound annual rate over the last 10 years. That gave it the power to grow its dividend at a 6% compound annual rate.
The company could grow even faster in the coming years:
As that slide shows, a trio of organic catalysts could power 7% to 12% annual FFO per share growth through at least 2028. On top of that, Brookfield sees mergers and acquisitions (M&A) potentially adding more than 9% to its FFO per share each year. That easily supports its plan of growing its dividend by 5% to 9% annually.
Several factors drive Brookfield's robust M&A potential. On the one hand, it has ample access to capital. Brookfield Renewable routinely recycles capital by selling mature assets and using the proceeds to fund higher-return new investments. On top of that, the company and its parent, Brookfield Asset Management, have a growing Brookfield Global Transition Fund (BGTF) platform. The companies are working to close their second BGTF, which aims to raise around $20 billion. That's about $5 billion more than the record $15 billion raised in the first fund.
Meanwhile, new investment opportunities abound. While the company's acquisition of Australian utility Origin Energy failed to win shareholder support, it's seeing “plentiful opportunities to deploy capital at or above our target returns,” according to CEO Connor Teskey. That drives the company's confidence in achieving its goal of deploying $7 billion to $8 billion of equity capital on new investments over the next five years, a portion of which it will deploy through its BGTFs.
With a dividend yield of around 4.6% and the potential to deliver more than 10% annual FFO per share growth, Brookfield should have no trouble achieving its long-term target of producing 12% to 15% average annual total returns.
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